Tucker Kraft
GBTE7 · overall #69 · tier 2 · age 25
Projected points
131
9.3/gm
Value over replacement
33
repl 112
Range
86–176
sd 45
Week
6.6
@ TB
Why this ranking
hand-set 2026-08-22
Trimmed 22 Aug at Matt's read. This row was rewritten earlier today as 13.3 games x 10.80/g -- a ramp from limited early snaps toward the 12.65/g he ran across eight games in 2025 -- and the ramp reasoning holds. What the rewrite did not check is how far the RESULT sits from his record: 10.79/g against a decay-0.65 weighted 8.69 is +2.10, the largest gap of any tight end on the board. His three seasons read 4.50, 8.10, 12.61, so the whole case rests on eight games. TE7 still prices the breakout as real and most of the ramp, against ADP TE8 and ECR TE6.
This is a view, not a correction — the model said something different and was overruled. See how it works.
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 76
- Carries
- 1
- Receptions
- 55
- Rec yards
- 654
- Rush yards
- 3
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 5.9
- Total TD
- 5.9
- Games projected
- 14.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 10.5
- Games of history
- 39
- Age multiplier
- 1.050
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.1
- Projected plays / game
- 60.5
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- -0.62
- OL pass protection
- -0.44
- OL continuity
- 60%
- 2TE rate
- 32%
- 3WR rate
- 60%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 41%
- Run friendly
- +0.91
- Scheme creativity
- +0.54
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 59%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 56
- Effective contributors
- 3.04
- Top player's share
- 45%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.69
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- TB,CHI,DAL
- Window matchup
- +0.19
- Opponents after
- DET,CAR,NE
- After matchup
- -0.01
- Flip edge
- +0.20
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.05
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
8
Points
101.2
Per game
12.65
17-gm pace
215
Best / worst
29.8 / 3.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8.9 | TE15 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| 2 | 21.4 | TE1 | 7 | 6 | 124 | 1 |
| 3 | 4.4 | TE26 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 0 |
| 4 | 8.1 | TE16 | 5 | 5 | 56 | 0 |
| 6 | 11.3 | TE9 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 1 |
| 7 | 14.3 | TE7 | 10 | 5 | 58 | 1 |
| 8 | 29.8 | TE1 | 9 | 7 | 143 | 2 |
| 9 | 3.0 | TE37 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 0 |