QB
Trey Lance
LACQB42 · overall #351 · tier 9 · age 26
Projected points
83
10.1/gm
Value over replacement
-51
repl 261
Range
63–103
sd 20
Week
6.2
vs ARI
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 186
- Pass yards
- 1355
- Pass TD
- 7.6
- Carries
- 17
- Rush yards
- 79
- Rush TD
- 0.4
- Games projected
- 8.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 3.7
- Games of history
- 10
- Age multiplier
- 1.038
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.4
- Projected plays / game
- 61.1
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +0.46
- OL pass protection
- +0.58
- OL continuity
- 37%
- 2TE rate
- 16%
- 3WR rate
- 71%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 45%
- Run friendly
- -0.07
- Scheme creativity
- +0.88
- Play action / motion
- 25% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 43
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.45
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk4
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- ARI,LV,BUF
- Window matchup
- +0.76
- Opponents after
- SEA,DEN,KC
- After matchup
- -0.69
- Flip edge
- +1.45
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.06
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
4
Points
13.5
Per game
3.38
17-gm pace
58
Best / worst
8.3 / 0.8
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2.9 | 3 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 | 1.6 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | 0.8 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | 8.3 | 20 | 44 | 136 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 69 | 0 |