Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Trent Sherfield

BUF

WR243 · overall #574 · tier – · age 30

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Projected points

23

1.6/gm

Value over replacement

-84

repl 119

Range

0–55

sd 32

Week

0.7

vs NE

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
17
Carries
0
Receptions
11
Rec yards
130
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.7
Total TD
0.7
Games projected
14.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.1
Games of history
44
Age multiplier
0.845
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
55%
OL run block
+1.32
OL pass protection
+1.30
OL continuity
78%
2TE rate
28%
3WR rate
65%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.97
Scheme creativity
+0.23
Play action / motion
21% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.79
Top player's share
35%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NE,LA,LV
Window matchup
+0.72
Opponents after
BAL,MIN
After matchup
-0.41
Flip edge
+1.13
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.44

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

4

Points

2.1

Per game

0.53

17-gm pace

9

Best / worst

1.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
10.3WR111113000
20.3WR116113000
51.5WR792115000
140.0WR101100000