RB
TreVeyon Henderson
NERB33 · overall #83 · tier 7 · age 23
Projected points
134
9.0/gm
Value over replacement
26
repl 116
Range
71–196
sd 62
Week
8.4
@ BUF
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 41
- Carries
- 140
- Receptions
- 32
- Rec yards
- 212
- Rush yards
- 604
- Rush TD
- 6.1
- Rec TD
- 0.5
- Total TD
- 6.6
- Games projected
- 14.8
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 12.0
- Games of history
- 17
- Age multiplier
- 1.045
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.3
- Projected plays / game
- 60.1
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -0.38
- OL pass protection
- -0.39
- OL continuity
- 72%
- 2TE rate
- 31%
- 3WR rate
- 57%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 43%
- Run friendly
- +0.11
- Scheme creativity
- -0.58
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 48%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 52
- Effective contributors
- 2.72
- Top player's share
- 49%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.58
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk7
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- BUF,LV,NYJ
- Window matchup
- +0.41
- Opponents after
- CHI,MIA,GB
- After matchup
- -0.14
- Flip edge
- +0.55
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.41
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
171.2
Per game
10.07
17-gm pace
171
Best / worst
28.1 / 0.5
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5.1 | RB35 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 0 |
| 2 | 4.0 | RB41 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 0 |
| 3 | 4.7 | RB40 | 11 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
| 4 | 10.6 | RB25 | 7 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 5 | 2.7 | RB43 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 6 | 3.6 | RB38 | 9 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 7 | 0.5 | RB65 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 5.5 | RB32 | 10 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 8.7 | RB22 | 14 | 55 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 | 27.0 | RB4 | 14 | 147 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | 27.3 | RB3 | 19 | 62 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 1 |
| 12 | 8.1 | RB22 | 18 | 66 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 | 8.6 | RB31 | 11 | 67 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 | 28.1 | RB3 | 14 | 148 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 | 1.2 | RB64 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 | 8.2 | RB22 | 19 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 17.3 | RB5 | 13 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |