Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Tre Tucker

LV

WR41 · overall #112 · tier 8 · age 25

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Projected points

123

8.1/gm

Value over replacement

13

repl 115

Range

51–194

sd 71

Week

8.0

vs MIA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
88
Carries
9
Receptions
53
Rec yards
659
Rush yards
43
Rush TD
0.2
Rec TD
4.1
Total TD
4.2
Games projected
15.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.5
Games of history
47
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
61.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.09
OL pass protection
-0.23
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
42%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
+0.57
Scheme creativity
-0.06
Play action / motion
22% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
4.24
Top player's share
38%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
MIA,LAC,NO
Window matchup
-0.36
Opponents after
KC,NE,BUF
After matchup
-0.54
Flip edge
+0.18
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.20

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

161.7

Per game

9.51

17-gm pace

162

Best / worst

40.9 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
113.43254100
24.98312017
340.998145314
44.22213029
511.16462019
612.05570000
78.36533000
96.84338000
105.53228017
1114.78447100
125.810328000
135.03320000
144.45224000
150.0300000
169.454430211
179.96549020
185.46230014