Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Travis Etienne

NO

RB19 · overall #31 · tier 5 · age 27

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Projected points

185

11.8/gm

Value over replacement

77

repl 110

Range

119–250

sd 65

Week

11.3

@ DET

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
55
Carries
212
Receptions
42
Rec yards
316
Rush yards
878
Rush TD
6.1
Rec TD
1.7
Total TD
7.8
Games projected
15.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
13.6
Games of history
66
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.09
OL pass protection
+0.23
OL continuity
78%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.31
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.59
Top player's share
44%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
DET,BAL,LV
Window matchup
-0.30
Opponents after
ATL,MIN,NYG
After matchup
+0.35
Flip edge
-0.65
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.75

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

253.9

Per game

14.94

17-gm pace

254

Best / worst

31.5 / 4.8

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
118.616143033130
216.91471032181
311.6165612000
419.51912412110
58.8124904390
69.51227054280
76.5844031110
916.52284055310
1015.71658142190
1119.3197322000
1220.61586043301
135.11228011130
1421.2207421180
1531.51232043733
1616.61650054161
1711.21776032160
184.8143201160