RB
Tony Pollard
TENRB29 · overall #65 · tier 7 · age 29
Projected points
147
9.8/gm
Value over replacement
45
repl 110
Range
100–194
sd 47
Week
9.5
vs NYJ
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 48
- Carries
- 188
- Receptions
- 37
- Rec yards
- 234
- Rush yards
- 748
- Rush TD
- 5.2
- Rec TD
- 0.4
- Total TD
- 5.6
- Games projected
- 15.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 12.0
- Games of history
- 66
- Age multiplier
- 0.895
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.4
- Projected plays / game
- 59.3
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -1.43
- OL pass protection
- -1.39
- OL continuity
- 46%
- 2TE rate
- 21%
- 3WR rate
- 77%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 39%
- Run friendly
- +0.19
- Scheme creativity
- -0.29
- Play action / motion
- 20% / 43%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 57
- Effective contributors
- 1.68
- Top player's share
- 74%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.70
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- NYJ,PHI,NYG
- Window matchup
- +0.12
- Opponents after
- BAL,HOU,IND
- After matchup
- -0.68
- Flip edge
- +0.80
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 9
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.55
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
152.8
Per game
8.99
17-gm pace
153
Best / worst
28.1 / 2.6
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6.9 | 18 | 60 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 0 |
| 2 | 9.2 | 20 | 92 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 11.9 | 16 | 45 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 4 | 7.6 | 14 | 64 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| 5 | 11.8 | 14 | 67 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
| 6 | 4.7 | 10 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 7 | 6.1 | 6 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 43 | 0 |
| 8 | 5.3 | 11 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 9 | 6.8 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 | 2.6 | 10 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | 4.1 | 11 | 20 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 | 4.3 | 10 | 60 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | 28.1 | 25 | 161 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 17.2 | 14 | 104 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 | 10.2 | 21 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 9.5 | 18 | 85 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 | 6.5 | 14 | 48 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 0 |