RB
Tony Pollard
TENRB27 · overall #62 · tier 7 · age 29
Projected points
155
10.3/gm
Value over replacement
46
repl 116
Range
108–202
sd 47
Week
7.0
@ BAL
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 52
- Carries
- 191
- Receptions
- 40
- Rec yards
- 258
- Rush yards
- 766
- Rush TD
- 5.2
- Rec TD
- 0.4
- Total TD
- 5.6
- Games projected
- 15.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 12.0
- Games of history
- 66
- Age multiplier
- 0.895
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.4
- Projected plays / game
- 59.5
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -1.29
- OL pass protection
- -1.25
- OL continuity
- 46%
- 2TE rate
- 21%
- 3WR rate
- 77%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 39%
- Run friendly
- +0.16
- Scheme creativity
- -0.30
- Play action / motion
- 20% / 43%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 57
- Effective contributors
- 1.68
- Top player's share
- 74%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.70
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- BAL,HOU,IND
- Window matchup
- -1.00
- Opponents after
- CLE,CIN
- After matchup
- -0.36
- Flip edge
- -0.64
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 9
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.55
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
152.8
Per game
8.99
17-gm pace
153
Best / worst
28.1 / 2.6
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6.9 | RB27 | 18 | 60 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 0 |
| 2 | 9.2 | RB27 | 20 | 92 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 11.9 | RB14 | 16 | 45 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 4 | 7.6 | RB33 | 14 | 64 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| 5 | 11.8 | RB18 | 14 | 67 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
| 6 | 4.7 | RB32 | 10 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 7 | 6.1 | RB28 | 6 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 43 | 0 |
| 8 | 5.3 | RB34 | 11 | 44 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 9 | 6.8 | RB26 | 10 | 56 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 | 2.6 | RB51 | 10 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | 4.1 | RB40 | 11 | 20 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 | 4.3 | RB46 | 10 | 60 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | 28.1 | RB2 | 25 | 161 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 17.2 | RB9 | 14 | 104 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 | 10.2 | RB23 | 21 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 9.5 | RB20 | 18 | 85 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 | 6.5 | RB25 | 14 | 48 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 0 |