Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Tim Patrick

NYJ

WR80 · overall #190 · tier – · age 32

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Projected points

7

2.9/gm

Value over replacement

-10

repl 119

Range

0–40

sd 33

Week

0.0

@ CHI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
4
Carries
0
Receptions
3
Rec yards
33
Rush yards
1
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.3
Total TD
0.3
Games projected
2.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.8
Games of history
28
Age multiplier
0.782
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.17
OL pass protection
-0.10
OL continuity
79%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
-0.43
Scheme creativity
-0.07
Play action / motion
19% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
6.43
Top player's share
22%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CHI,CLE,NE
Window matchup
+0.28
Opponents after
MIA,LV,KC
After matchup
+0.04
Flip edge
+0.24
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.07

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

13

Points

36.7

Per game

2.82

17-gm pace

48

Best / worst

13.8 / -0.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
20.0WR119100000
31.6WR841116000
4-0.1WR14511-1000
50.0WR100100000
68.6WR241126100
72.2WR671122000
118.0WR224320100
120.0WR97400000
131.1WR911111000
1413.8WR86578100
161.1WR991111000
170.0WR120100000
180.4WR101114000