WR
Tim Jones
JAXWR238 · overall #561 · tier – · age 28
Projected points
11
0.9/gm
Value over replacement
-82
repl 119
Range
1–22
sd 11
Week
0.3
@ CIN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 10
- Carries
- 0
- Receptions
- 6
- Rec yards
- 71
- Rush yards
- 0
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 0.2
- Total TD
- 0.2
- Games projected
- 12.5
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 1.2
- Games of history
- 27
- Age multiplier
- 0.908
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.2
- Projected plays / game
- 61.3
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -0.72
- OL pass protection
- -0.20
- OL continuity
- 98%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 73%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.06
- Scheme creativity
- -0.03
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 51%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.41
- Top player's share
- 30%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- CIN,PHI,HOU
- Window matchup
- -0.60
- Opponents after
- IND,BAL
- After matchup
- +0.19
- Flip edge
- -0.79
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.32
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
2
Points
1.5
Per game
0.75
17-gm pace
13
Best / worst
1.5 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.5 | WR76 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.0 | WR93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |