TE
Theo Johnson
NYGTE36 · overall #228 · tier – · age 25
Projected points
70
5.2/gm
Value over replacement
-25
repl 112
Range
35–106
sd 36
Week
2.3
vs ARI
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 53
- Carries
- 1
- Receptions
- 36
- Rec yards
- 371
- Rush yards
- 2
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 2.6
- Total TD
- 2.6
- Games projected
- 13.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 7.6
- Games of history
- 26
- Age multiplier
- 1.050
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.3
- Projected plays / game
- 62.6
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.24
- OL pass protection
- -0.01
- OL continuity
- 75%
- 2TE rate
- 32%
- 3WR rate
- 67%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 47%
- Run friendly
- -0.84
- Scheme creativity
- +0.09
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 58
- Effective contributors
- 1.69
- Top player's share
- 73%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.70
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk7
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- ARI,WAS,NO
- Window matchup
- +0.85
- Opponents after
- HOU,PHI
- After matchup
- -0.73
- Flip edge
- +1.58
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.26
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
15
Points
127.8
Per game
8.52
17-gm pace
145
Best / worst
21.3 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.5 | TE49 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 2 | 7.4 | TE22 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 0 |
| 3 | 2.0 | TE44 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| 4 | 10.7 | TE14 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 1 |
| 5 | 21.3 | TE3 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 2 |
| 6 | 4.7 | TE34 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 0 |
| 7 | 15.6 | TE9 | 7 | 3 | 66 | 1 |
| 8 | 5.0 | TE24 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 0 |
| 9 | 11.7 | TE11 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 1 |
| 10 | 14.5 | TE7 | 8 | 7 | 75 | 0 |
| 11 | 6.6 | TE21 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 | 10.7 | TE11 | 5 | 3 | 77 | 0 |
| 13 | 5.9 | TE27 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 | 10.2 | TE14 | 4 | 3 | 72 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.0 | TE64 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |