WR
Tez Johnson
TBWR111 · overall #257 · tier – · age 24
Projected points
77
5.3/gm
Value over replacement
-31
repl 119
Range
25–130
sd 53
Week
2.9
vs GB
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 49
- Carries
- 6
- Receptions
- 30
- Rec yards
- 381
- Rush yards
- 27
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 3.2
- Total TD
- 3.2
- Games projected
- 14.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 6.2
- Games of history
- 15
- Age multiplier
- 1.044
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.6
- Projected plays / game
- 62.1
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +0.87
- OL pass protection
- +1.31
- OL continuity
- 80%
- 2TE rate
- 22%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 44%
- Run friendly
- +0.51
- Scheme creativity
- -0.17
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 58%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 90
- Effective contributors
- 4.77
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 2.00
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- GB,DAL,PIT
- Window matchup
- +0.22
- Opponents after
- CAR,ATL,CHI
- After matchup
- +0.41
- Flip edge
- -0.18
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.64
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
15
Points
64.4
Per game
4.29
17-gm pace
73
Best / worst
16.2 / -0.1
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.0 | WR115 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.0 | WR120 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 1.3 | WR92 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | 5.9 | WR42 | 4 | 4 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 10.5 | WR17 | 3 | 1 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 11.8 | WR16 | 9 | 4 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 4.3 | WR51 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 16.2 | WR7 | 5 | 4 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.6 | WR97 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | 9.3 | WR23 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 12 |
| 13 | 0.5 | WR99 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 0.0 | WR104 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | -0.1 | WR150 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1.9 | WR76 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 2.2 | WR64 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 5 |