Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Terry McLaurin

WAS

WR35 · overall #89 · tier 8 · age 31

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Projected points

124

8.9/gm

Value over replacement

20

repl 119

Range

81–168

sd 44

Week

8.5

vs IND

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
85
Carries
1
Receptions
54
Rec yards
699
Rush yards
3
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
4.8
Total TD
4.8
Games projected
14.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.8
Games of history
61
Age multiplier
0.813
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.8
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
-0.49
OL pass protection
-0.84
OL continuity
84%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.19
Scheme creativity
-0.16
Play action / motion
20% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.70
Top player's share
36%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
IND,NYG,SF
Window matchup
-0.05
Opponents after
PHI,LA
After matchup
-0.59
Flip edge
+0.54
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.41

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

10

Points

95.2

Per game

9.52

17-gm pace

162

Best / worst

19.1 / 3.7

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
13.7WR724227000
27.3WR529548000
38.9WR344374000
812.9WR154354100
1319.1WR914796100
145.6WR426341000
1514.4WR154369100
166.8WR454353000
178.8WR327563000
187.7WR284457000