Terrance Ferguson

TE55 · overall #315 · tier – · age 23

← back to rankings

Projected points

3.8/gm

Value over replacement

-41

repl 112

Range

9–88

sd 40

Week

3.4

@ PHI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 32
Carries: 2
Receptions: 21
Rec yards: 248
Rush yards: 2
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 2.0
Total TD: 2.0
Games projected: 12.8
Observed pts/gm (history): 4.7
Games of history: 11
Age multiplier: 1.060
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.6
Projected plays / game: 61.9
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: +0.74
OL pass protection: +0.72
OL continuity: 82%
2TE rate: 31%
3WR rate: 69%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: -0.61
Scheme creativity: +1.28
Play action / motion: 32% / 70%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 75
Effective contributors: 3.66
Top player's share: 37%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: PHI,BUF,ARI
Window matchup: +0.04
Opponents after: LV,LAC,WAS
After matchup: +0.56
Flip edge: -0.52
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 11
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.11

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

52.1

Per game

4.74

17-gm pace

Best / worst

13.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
5	3.1	TE40	1	1	21	0
6	0.0	TE60	0	0	0	0
7	10.1	TE17	3	1	31	1
9	7.4	TE27	3	2	54	0
10	4.2	TE29	4	1	32	0
12	0.0	TE59	1	0	0	0
13	0.0	TE61	2	0	0	0
14	0.0	TE58	1	0	0	0
15	1.6	TE55	2	1	6	0
16	12.3	TE14	4	3	33	1
17	13.4	TE9	4	2	54	1