Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Tee Higgins

CIN

WR18 · overall #52 · tier 5 · age 27

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Projected points

155

11.3/gm

Value over replacement

56

repl 115

Range

101–208

sd 53

Week

10.5

vs TB

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
101
Carries
0
Receptions
62
Rec yards
780
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
7.8
Total TD
7.8
Games projected
13.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
14.6
Games of history
53
Age multiplier
0.939
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
60%
OL run block
-0.72
OL pass protection
-1.37
OL continuity
99%
2TE rate
40%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.75
Scheme creativity
-0.69
Play action / motion
17% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
52
Effective contributors
2.82
Top player's share
50%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.62

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
TB,HOU,PIT
Window matchup
+0.12
Opponents after
JAX,MIA
After matchup
+0.46
Flip edge
-0.34
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.27

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

15

Points

211.6

Per game

14.11

17-gm pace

240

Best / worst

33.1 / 2.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
16.34333000
214.68356100
32.52115000
46.26332000
511.27322100
611.28562000
721.610696100
811.42144100
933.197121200
1115.38363100
128.16531000
1427.211692200
1614.33353100
179.95459000
1818.79667100