Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Tay Martin

DET

WR142 · overall #323 · tier – · age 28

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Projected points

13

1.7/gm

Value over replacement

-43

repl 119

Range

0–42

sd 29

Week

0.6

@ CAR

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
8
Carries
1
Receptions
5
Rec yards
68
Rush yards
4
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.5
Total TD
0.5
Games projected
7.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.9
Games of history
4
Age multiplier
0.908
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
62.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.69
OL pass protection
+0.61
OL continuity
43%
2TE rate
33%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.24
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
28% / 60%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
59
Effective contributors
2.70
Top player's share
51%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.70

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CAR,ARI
Window matchup
+0.38
Opponents after
GB,MIN,MIA
After matchup
+0.06
Flip edge
+0.32
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.22

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

2

Points

4.3

Per game

2.15

17-gm pace

37

Best / worst

2.4 / 1.9

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
42.4WR951114000
51.9WR89119000