Tank Bigsby

PHI

RB79 · overall #281 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

4.8/gm

Value over replacement

-35

repl 116

Range

36–103

sd 34

Week

3.6

vs LA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 14
Carries: 84
Receptions: 9
Rec yards: 70
Rush yards: 381
Rush TD: 4.0
Rec TD: 0.0
Total TD: 4.0
Games projected: 14.4
Observed pts/gm (history): 4.6
Games of history: 44
Age multiplier: 1.022
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 32.8
Projected plays / game: 61.3
Projected pass rate: 53%
OL run block: +1.28
OL pass protection: +1.10
OL continuity: 81%
2TE rate: 36%
3WR rate: 63%
1st-down pass rate: 43%
Run friendly: +0.90
Scheme creativity: +0.20
Play action / motion: 23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: clear lead
Ambiguity score: 14
Effective contributors: 1.61
Top player's share: 77%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.31

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: LA,JAX,CAR
Window matchup: +0.05
Opponents after: DAL,WAS,NYG
After matchup: +1.42
Flip edge: -1.36
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 10
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.29

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

53.8

Per game

3.59

17-gm pace

Best / worst

17.6 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Att	Ru Yds	Ru TD	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds
1	1.2	RB66	5	12	0	0	0	0
3	0.0	RB76	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	0.0	RB74	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	0.0	RB71	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	0.0	RB69	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	2.0	RB57	1	11	0	1	1	-1
8	10.4	RB22	9	104	0	0	0	0
10	0.7	RB61	3	7	0	0	0	0
11	3.4	RB52	4	34	0	0	0	0
12	0.8	RB57	1	8	0	0	0	0
14	0.4	RB68	1	4	0	0	0	0
15	5.7	RB44	17	57	0	1	0	0
16	9.7	RB33	4	37	1	0	0	0
17	1.9	RB64	2	7	0	1	1	2
18	17.6	RB9	16	75	1	1	1	31