Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Tank Bigsby

PHI

RB62 · overall #240 · tier 9 · age 23

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Projected points

63

4.4/gm

Value over replacement

-35

repl 110

Range

30–97

sd 34

Week

4.5

vs WAS

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
15
Carries
72
Receptions
10
Rec yards
74
Rush yards
331
Rush TD
4.1
Rec TD
0.0
Total TD
4.1
Games projected
14.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.6
Games of history
44
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+1.42
OL pass protection
+1.23
OL continuity
93%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.89
Scheme creativity
+0.20
Play action / motion
23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
14
Effective contributors
1.61
Top player's share
77%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.31

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
WAS,TEN,CHI
Window matchup
+0.39
Opponents after
LA,JAX,CAR
After matchup
+0.01
Flip edge
+0.38
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.25

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

52.3

Per game

3.49

17-gm pace

59

Best / worst

17.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.251200000
30.00000000
40.00000000
50.00000000
60.00000000
71.5111011-10
810.4910400000
100.73700000
113.443400000
120.81800000
140.41400000
155.7175701000
169.743710000
171.42701120
1817.11675111310