TE
T.J. Hockenson
MINTE21 · overall #144 · tier 5 · age 29
Projected points
94
6.9/gm
Value over replacement
-1
repl 112
Range
58–131
sd 36
Week
6.7
vs MIA
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 74
- Carries
- 0
- Receptions
- 53
- Rec yards
- 525
- Rush yards
- 0
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 2.8
- Total TD
- 2.8
- Games projected
- 13.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 9.7
- Games of history
- 57
- Age multiplier
- 0.933
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.1
- Projected plays / game
- 61.1
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.05
- OL pass protection
- +0.10
- OL continuity
- 76%
- 2TE rate
- 27%
- 3WR rate
- 63%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.76
- Scheme creativity
- +0.22
- Play action / motion
- 26% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 13
- Effective contributors
- 1.86
- Top player's share
- 70%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.29
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk7
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- MIA,NO
- Window matchup
- +0.64
- Opponents after
- IND,DET,BUF
- After matchup
- +0.24
- Flip edge
- +0.40
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.87
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
15
Points
61.8
Per game
4.12
17-gm pace
70
Best / worst
10.9 / 0.2
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.5 | TE41 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
| 2 | 1.2 | TE40 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
| 3 | 10.9 | TE4 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 1 |
| 4 | 3.9 | TE23 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 0 |
| 5 | 3.8 | TE24 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 0 |
| 7 | 4.3 | TE21 | 9 | 6 | 43 | 0 |
| 8 | 2.6 | TE23 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 0 |
| 9 | 7.1 | TE17 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| 10 | 0.8 | TE44 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 | 3.9 | TE19 | 6 | 3 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 | 1.9 | TE33 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 | 5.9 | TE15 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 0 |
| 14 | 7.2 | TE12 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
| 15 | 6.6 | TE13 | 5 | 4 | 66 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.2 | TE62 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |