Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Stefon Diggs

WAS

WR42 · overall #99 · tier 8 · age 32

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Projected points

121

8.7/gm

Value over replacement

17

repl 119

Range

50–191

sd 70

Week

11.0

vs IND

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
84
Carries
1
Receptions
58
Rec yards
668
Rush yards
2
Rush TD
0.1
Rec TD
4.2
Total TD
4.3
Games projected
13.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
14.0
Games of history
58
Age multiplier
0.782
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.8
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
-0.49
OL pass protection
-0.84
OL continuity
84%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.19
Scheme creativity
-0.16
Play action / motion
20% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.70
Top player's share
36%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
IND,NYG,SF
Window matchup
-0.05
Opponents after
PHI,LA
After matchup
-0.59
Flip edge
+0.54
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.41

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

210.3

Per game

12.37

17-gm pace

210

Best / worst

24.6 / 4.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
111.7WR317657000
27.2WR705432000
35.3WR663323000
416.1WR1876101000
524.6WR41210146000
65.8WR553328000
713.9WR227769000
810.4WR375314100
912.8WR304338100
1015.6WR218546100
1119.5WR9119105000
124.0WR663220000
135.6WR594326000
155.6WR644326000
1622.8WR7109138000
1722.1WR766101100
187.3WR443343000