Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Spencer Rattler

NO

QB71 · overall #624 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

61

5.5/gm

Value over replacement

-112

repl 250

Range

35–87

sd 26

Week

1.7

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
171
Pass yards
1183
Pass TD
6.8
Carries
11
Rush yards
74
Rush TD
0.2
Games projected
11.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.5
Games of history
16
Age multiplier
1.038
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.21
OL pass protection
+0.11
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ATL,MIN,NYG
Window matchup
-0.03
Opponents after
PIT,CLE
After matchup
+0.08
Flip edge
-0.12
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.57

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

9

Points

98.6

Per game

10.96

17-gm pace

186

Best / worst

21.7 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
111.5QB212746214004290
221.7QB92534207304140
311.7QB232839218112100
413.9QB201827126106490
515.6QB192131225106210
611.1QB232026227004200
710.5QB202032233232120
82.6QB271521136013120
150.0QB3401000000