WR
Shedrick Jackson
BALWR159 · overall #375 · tier – · age 26
Projected points
17
1.9/gm
Value over replacement
-51
repl 119
Range
0–48
sd 31
Week
0.5
vs TEN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 11
- Carries
- 1
- Receptions
- 7
- Rec yards
- 86
- Rush yards
- 7
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 0.7
- Total TD
- 0.7
- Games projected
- 9.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.5
- Games of history
- 5
- Age multiplier
- 1.009
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.9
- Projected plays / game
- 60.2
- Projected pass rate
- 53%
- OL run block
- +0.50
- OL pass protection
- -0.17
- OL continuity
- 57%
- 2TE rate
- 45%
- 3WR rate
- 34%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- +0.69
- Scheme creativity
- +0.62
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, committee
- Ambiguity score
- 93
- Effective contributors
- 2.62
- Top player's share
- 56%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.14
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- TEN,ATL,CLE
- Window matchup
- +0.60
- Opponents after
- CIN,BUF,JAX
- After matchup
- -0.23
- Flip edge
- +0.84
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.08
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
3
Points
11.9
Per game
3.97
17-gm pace
67
Best / worst
8.5 / 1.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 8.5 | WR22 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 2.0 | WR73 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 1.4 | WR76 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 |