Shedeur Sanders

CLE

QB81 · overall #634 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

5.3/gm

Value over replacement

-124

repl 250

Range

0–129

sd 65

Week

2.3

vs PIT

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Pass attempts: 189
Pass yards: 1265
Pass TD: 8.3
Carries: 11
Rush yards: 80
Rush TD: 0.4
Games projected: 12.0
Observed pts/gm (history): 10.7
Games of history: 8
Age multiplier: 1.038
Usage carryover: 0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.4
Projected plays / game: 61.0
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: -1.18
OL pass protection: -1.79
OL continuity: 28%
2TE rate: 37%
3WR rate: 63%
1st-down pass rate: 44%
Run friendly: +1.14
Scheme creativity: -0.09
Play action / motion: 23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: new head coach
Ambiguity score: 66
Effective contributors: –
Top player's share: –
New play-caller: yes
Variance multiplier: 1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy low
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: PIT,NYJ,BAL
Window matchup: -0.18
Opponents after: TEN,PIT,NO
After matchup: -0.27
Flip edge: +0.08
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 11
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.39

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

84.9

Per game

10.61

17-gm pace

180

Best / worst

33.5 / 1.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Cmp	Att	Pa Yds	Pa TD	INT	Ru Att	Ru Yds	Ru TD
11	1.5	QB35	4	16	47	0	1	3	16	0
12	10.3	QB18	11	20	209	1	1	1	-1	0
13	10.6	QB24	16	25	149	1	0	1	6	0
14	33.5	QB2	23	42	364	3	1	3	29	1
15	3.5	QB31	18	35	177	0	3	2	24	0
16	11.2	QB23	20	29	157	1	2	4	49	0
17	9.4	QB20	17	23	186	1	2	4	20	0
18	5.0	QB29	11	22	111	0	0	3	26	0