Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Scott Miller

CHI

WR218 · overall #500 · tier – · age 29

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Projected points

32

2.3/gm

Value over replacement

-70

repl 119

Range

5–59

sd 27

Week

0.9

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
26
Carries
0
Receptions
16
Rec yards
190
Rush yards
1
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.8
Total TD
0.8
Games projected
13.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.0
Games of history
34
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.36
OL pass protection
+1.05
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.61
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.26
Top player's share
29%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYJ,GB,ATL
Window matchup
+0.54
Opponents after
NE,SEA,TB
After matchup
+0.10
Flip edge
+0.43
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.33

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

5

Points

10.7

Per game

2.14

17-gm pace

36

Best / worst

4.0 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
40.0WR113100000
71.4WR94119000
163.4WR773319000
174.0WR617325000
181.9WR81229000