Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Samaje Perine

CIN

RB70 · overall #229 · tier – · age 31

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Projected points

82

5.6/gm

Value over replacement

-25

repl 116

Range

53–112

sd 29

Week

4.6

vs JAX

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
28
Carries
88
Receptions
22
Rec yards
169
Rush yards
367
Rush TD
2.0
Rec TD
0.5
Total TD
2.5
Games projected
14.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.5
Games of history
65
Age multiplier
0.857
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
60%
OL run block
-0.73
OL pass protection
-1.39
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
40%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.75
Scheme creativity
-0.67
Play action / motion
17% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
9
Effective contributors
1.82
Top player's share
69%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.28

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
JAX,MIA
Window matchup
+0.43
Opponents after
BAL,TEN,ATL
After matchup
-0.49
Flip edge
+0.92
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.50

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

69.4

Per game

4.63

17-gm pace

79

Best / worst

16.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.6RB580002260
20.0RB750000000
30.1RB7542100000
40.4RB711401000
53.9RB4142702220
64.2RB40616032160
73.1RB4773100000
816.5RB1299411160
90.5RB621500000
134.4RB491439022150
144.3RB4463101170
154.8RB44144201110
1611.1RB23725132160
177.8RB273511180
186.7RB28842043100