Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Sam LaPorta

DET

TE4 · overall #59 · tier 1 · age 25

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Projected points

143

10.7/gm

Value over replacement

49

repl 112

Range

101–184

sd 42

Week

9.8

@ CAR

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
91
Carries
0
Receptions
67
Rec yards
723
Rush yards
1
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
6.2
Total TD
6.2
Games projected
13.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.2
Games of history
42
Age multiplier
1.050
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
62.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.69
OL pass protection
+0.61
OL continuity
43%
2TE rate
33%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.24
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
28% / 60%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
60
Effective contributors
2.79
Top player's share
53%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.74

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CAR,ARI
Window matchup
+0.95
Opponents after
GB,MIN,MIA
After matchup
+0.07
Flip edge
+0.87
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.16

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

9

Points

66.9

Per game

7.43

17-gm pace

126

Best / worst

15.7 / 1.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
17.9TE796790
22.6TE3343260
33.3TE2444330
43.9TE2343390
515.2TE465921
611.5TE465551
71.5TE3833150
915.7TE486971
105.3TE1755530