QB
Sam Darnold
SEAQB27 · overall #242 · tier 7 · age 29
Projected points
184
13.7/gm
Value over replacement
-35
repl 261
Range
139–228
sd 45
Week
11.8
vs NE
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 360
- Pass yards
- 2729
- Pass TD
- 18.3
- Carries
- 38
- Rush yards
- 135
- Rush TD
- 0.9
- Games projected
- 13.4
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 13.4
- Games of history
- 50
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.9
- Projected plays / game
- 61.2
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.11
- OL pass protection
- +0.37
- OL continuity
- 100%
- 2TE rate
- 34%
- 3WR rate
- 58%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 50%
- Run friendly
- +0.17
- Scheme creativity
- -0.21
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk4
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- NE,ARI,WAS
- Window matchup
- +1.18
- Opponents after
- LAC,SF,DEN
- After matchup
- -0.33
- Flip edge
- +1.51
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.45
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
17
Points
235.4
Per game
13.85
17-gm pace
235
Best / worst
27.6 / 3.1
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5.4 | 16 | 23 | 150 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 2 | 15.8 | 22 | 33 | 295 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16.7 | 14 | 18 | 218 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16.1 | 18 | 26 | 242 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 0 |
| 5 | 27.6 | 28 | 34 | 341 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 20.0 | 16 | 27 | 295 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | 8.6 | 17 | 31 | 213 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | 27.2 | 21 | 24 | 330 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 4.9 | 10 | 12 | 178 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | 4.3 | 29 | 44 | 279 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 | 17.7 | 16 | 26 | 244 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | 3.1 | 14 | 26 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 22.3 | 20 | 30 | 249 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 | 11.3 | 22 | 36 | 271 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | 19.5 | 22 | 34 | 270 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 | 6.1 | 18 | 27 | 147 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | 8.8 | 20 | 26 | 198 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 |