WR
Ryan Miller
MIAWR231 · overall #541 · tier – · age 26
Projected points
16
1.3/gm
Value over replacement
-78
repl 119
Range
0–55
sd 39
Week
3.3
@ MIN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 10
- Carries
- 1
- Receptions
- 6
- Rec yards
- 76
- Rush yards
- 5
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 0.9
- Total TD
- 0.9
- Games projected
- 12.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 2.2
- Games of history
- 18
- Age multiplier
- 1.009
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.6
- Projected plays / game
- 60.1
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -1.09
- OL pass protection
- -0.47
- OL continuity
- 69%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 46%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 42%
- Run friendly
- -0.06
- Scheme creativity
- +1.42
- Play action / motion
- 26% / 73%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, committee
- Ambiguity score
- 98
- Effective contributors
- 3.82
- Top player's share
- 41%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.55
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- MIN,CIN
- Window matchup
- -1.52
- Opponents after
- NYJ,NE,DET
- After matchup
- +0.40
- Flip edge
- -1.91
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.70
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
9
Points
9.4
Per game
1.04
17-gm pace
18
Best / worst
8.0 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.0 | WR115 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 8.0 | WR40 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.0 | WR120 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 0.0 | WR99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 1.4 | WR84 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.0 | WR93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.0 | WR104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 0.0 | WR108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 0.0 | WR101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |