Ryan Flournoy

DAL

WR123 · overall #286 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

4.7/gm

Value over replacement

-37

repl 119

Range

16–110

sd 47

Week

3.7

@ HOU

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 42
Carries: 5
Receptions: 27
Rec yards: 331
Rush yards: 25
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 2.4
Total TD: 2.4
Games projected: 13.4
Observed pts/gm (history): 6.3
Games of history: 24
Age multiplier: 1.009
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 31.0
Projected plays / game: 64.1
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: +0.24
OL pass protection: +0.09
OL continuity: 86%
2TE rate: 20%
3WR rate: 72%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: -0.93
Scheme creativity: -0.33
Play action / motion: 22% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 75
Effective contributors: 3.92
Top player's share: 35%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: HOU,TB,GB
Window matchup: -0.24
Opponents after: PHI,ARI,IND
After matchup: +0.19
Flip edge: -0.44
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 14
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.35

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

114.0

Per game

7.60

17-gm pace

129

Best / worst

26.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD	Att	Ru Yds
2	0.0	WR122	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	4.1	WR79	3	2	21	0	0	0
4	4.6	WR70	2	2	14	0	1	12
5	18.4	WR13	9	6	114	0	2	10
6	6.3	WR52	6	3	30	0	1	3
7	0.0	WR103	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	1.7	WR83	2	1	7	0	0	0
9	9.2	WR42	2	2	12	1	0	0
11	7.2	WR44	1	1	2	1	0	0
12	0.0	WR98	1	0	0	0	0	0
13	6.4	WR52	3	3	34	0	0	0
14	26.5	WR5	13	9	115	1	0	0
15	8.0	WR50	5	4	40	0	0	0
16	9.8	WR37	2	2	18	1	0	0
18	11.8	WR20	7	5	68	0	0	0