Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Roschon Johnson

CHI

RB85 · overall #304 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

45

3.8/gm

Value over replacement

-40

repl 116

Range

20–70

sd 25

Week

1.0

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
14
Carries
44
Receptions
11
Rec yards
76
Rush yards
181
Rush TD
2.1
Rec TD
0.0
Total TD
2.1
Games projected
11.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.1
Games of history
34
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.36
OL pass protection
+1.05
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.61
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
34
Effective contributors
2.04
Top player's share
56%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.35

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYJ,GB,ATL
Window matchup
+0.57
Opponents after
NE,SEA,TB
After matchup
-0.09
Flip edge
+0.66
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.57

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

6

Points

1.7

Per game

0.28

17-gm pace

5

Best / worst

1.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
20.0RB740000000
30.0RB760000000
40.0RB730000000
60.6RB621600000
71.1RB5711100000
110.0RB740000000