Roman Wilson

PIT

WR153 · overall #360 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

3.8/gm

Value over replacement

-49

repl 119

Range

0–112

sd 60

Week

5.7

@ CLE

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 35
Carries: 3
Receptions: 21
Rec yards: 271
Rush yards: 17
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 2.1
Total TD: 2.1
Games projected: 13.6
Observed pts/gm (history): 4.3
Games of history: 9
Age multiplier: 1.026
Usage carryover: 0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.5
Projected plays / game: 61.4
Projected pass rate: 57%
OL run block: -0.51
OL pass protection: +0.02
OL continuity: 65%
2TE rate: 45%
3WR rate: 52%
1st-down pass rate: 45%
Run friendly: -0.86
Scheme creativity: -0.29
Play action / motion: 21% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score: 98
Effective contributors: 3.82
Top player's share: 42%
New play-caller: yes
Variance multiplier: 2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: CLE,IND,TB
Window matchup: +0.09
Opponents after: NO,CLE
After matchup: +0.25
Flip edge: -0.16
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 9
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.01

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

26.6

Per game

2.96

17-gm pace

Best / worst

13.4 / -1.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
2	0.7	WR110	2	1	7	0
6	1.2	WR84	1	1	12	0
7	1.7	WR70	2	2	17	0
8	13.4	WR8	5	4	74	1
9	-1.6	WR132	2	1	4	0
10	9.5	WR27	3	2	35	1
11	1.7	WR72	2	1	17	0
12	0.0	WR97	3	0	0	0
13	0.0	WR108	1	0	0	0