Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Reggie Gilliam

NE

RB145 · overall #594 · tier – · age 29

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Projected points

13

0.9/gm

Value over replacement

-93

repl 116

Range

0–30

sd 17

Week

0.6

@ BUF

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
5
Carries
17
Receptions
4
Rec yards
29
Rush yards
55
Rush TD
0.1
Rec TD
0.3
Total TD
0.4
Games projected
14.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
0.5
Games of history
30
Age multiplier
0.895
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.38
OL pass protection
-0.39
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.11
Scheme creativity
-0.58
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
52
Effective contributors
2.72
Top player's share
49%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.58

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
BUF,LV,NYJ
Window matchup
+0.41
Opponents after
CHI,MIA,GB
After matchup
-0.14
Flip edge
+0.55
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.41

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

11

Points

3.8

Per game

0.35

17-gm pace

6

Best / worst

3.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
20.0RB750000000
50.0RB710000000
80.0RB710000000
90.0RB670000000
110.0RB760000000
120.7RB570001120
130.0RB740000000
140.0RB710000000
150.0RB800000000
170.0RB820000000
183.1RB5424011220