Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Rashod Bateman

BAL

WR82 · overall #194 · tier 9 · age 26

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Projected points

89

6.7/gm

Value over replacement

-11

repl 119

Range

44–135

sd 46

Week

7.6

vs TEN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
59
Carries
0
Receptions
35
Rec yards
482
Rush yards
2
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
3.7
Total TD
3.7
Games projected
13.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.7
Games of history
50
Age multiplier
1.009
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.9
Projected plays / game
60.2
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+0.50
OL pass protection
-0.17
OL continuity
57%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
34%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
+0.69
Scheme creativity
+0.62
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
93
Effective contributors
2.62
Top player's share
56%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.14

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
TEN,ATL,CLE
Window matchup
+0.60
Opponents after
CIN,BUF,JAX
After matchup
-0.23
Flip edge
+0.84
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.08

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

13

Points

45.9

Per game

3.53

17-gm pace

60

Best / worst

14.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
12.0WR914210000
22.5WR964215000
314.8WR177563100
42.9WR792124000
50.0WR101300000
61.3WR90118000
86.1WR514251000
98.3WR364213100
103.5WR612110000
130.0WR108100000
143.3WR623223000
160.0WR119200000
171.2WR100117000