Rasheen Ali

BAL

RB133 · overall #459 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

2.0/gm

Value over replacement

-63

repl 116

Range

8–40

sd 16

Week

0.5

vs TEN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 9
Carries: 27
Receptions: 7
Rec yards: 51
Rush yards: 106
Rush TD: 0.4
Rec TD: 0.4
Total TD: 0.7
Games projected: 12.0
Observed pts/gm (history): 1.5
Games of history: 20
Age multiplier: 1.000
Usage carryover: 0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.9
Projected plays / game: 60.2
Projected pass rate: 53%
OL run block: +0.50
OL pass protection: -0.17
OL continuity: 57%
2TE rate: 45%
3WR rate: 34%
1st-down pass rate: 46%
Run friendly: +0.69
Scheme creativity: +0.62
Play action / motion: 23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score: 55
Effective contributors: 1.57
Top player's share: 78%
New play-caller: yes
Variance multiplier: 1.64

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: TEN,ATL,CLE
Window matchup: +0.28
Opponents after: CIN,BUF,JAX
After matchup: +0.11
Flip edge: +0.17
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 13
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.28

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

24.2

Per game

1.61

17-gm pace

Best / worst

11.2 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Att	Ru Yds	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	0.5	RB73	1	5	0	0	0	0
2	0.0	RB75	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	0.0	RB76	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	0.0	RB74	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	0.0	RB71	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	0.0	RB69	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	0.0	RB71	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	0.0	RB67	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	2.5	RB56	0	0	1	1	15	0
13	1.7	RB65	4	17	0	0	0	0
14	3.3	RB50	1	2	3	2	11	0
15	11.2	RB24	0	0	2	2	32	1
16	2.2	RB60	0	0	2	2	2	0
17	2.8	RB57	0	0	3	2	8	0
18	0.0	RB82	1	0	0	0	0	0