Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

RJ Harvey

DEN

RB32 · overall #89 · tier 7 · age 25

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Projected points

129

8.7/gm

Value over replacement

28

repl 110

Range

81–177

sd 48

Week

7.0

@ KC

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
42
Carries
121
Receptions
33
Rec yards
250
Rush yards
507
Rush TD
4.1
Rec TD
1.8
Total TD
5.8
Games projected
14.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.1
Games of history
17
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.2
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+1.24
OL pass protection
+1.55
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
23%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.38
Scheme creativity
+0.14
Play action / motion
25% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
48
Effective contributors
2.56
Top player's share
44%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.53

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
KC,JAX,LA
Window matchup
-0.81
Opponents after
SF,LAC,SEA
After matchup
-0.37
Flip edge
-0.44
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.60

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

17

Points

159.6

Per game

9.39

17-gm pace

160

Best / worst

23.1 / 1.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
16.9670011-10
22.458021160
31.622033140
415.81458054401
53.0412033180
62.524044210
76.24002121
823.174621151
911.625055511
101.84903290
115.01130033200
1318.21335243270
1416.01775166250
1510.5196511000
1618.1750154710
1713.61443065331
183.3152804150