Quintin Morris

JAX

TE119 · overall #527 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

1.5/gm

Value over replacement

-74

repl 112

Range

4–37

sd 17

Week

0.9

@ CIN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 13
Carries: 0
Receptions: 9
Rec yards: 84
Rush yards: 1
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 1.3
Total TD: 1.3
Games projected: 13.5
Observed pts/gm (history): 1.8
Games of history: 32
Age multiplier: 1.010
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 34.2
Projected plays / game: 61.3
Projected pass rate: 57%
OL run block: -0.72
OL pass protection: -0.20
OL continuity: 98%
2TE rate: 25%
3WR rate: 73%
1st-down pass rate: 46%
Run friendly: -0.06
Scheme creativity: -0.03
Play action / motion: 23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: settled
Ambiguity score: 46
Effective contributors: 2.55
Top player's share: 57%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.53

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: CIN,PHI,HOU
Window matchup: -0.02
Opponents after: IND,BAL
After matchup: -0.46
Flip edge: +0.45
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 7
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.26

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

17.5

Per game

1.59

17-gm pace

Best / worst

7.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
2	0.0	TE57	0	0	0	0
4	0.0	TE56	0	0	0	0
5	0.0	TE58	0	0	0	0
11	2.1	TE44	3	1	11	0
12	0.0	TE59	0	0	0	0
13	2.4	TE45	2	1	14	0
14	0.0	TE58	0	0	0	0
15	4.0	TE36	2	2	20	0
16	1.5	TE56	1	1	5	0
17	0.0	TE60	0	0	0	0
18	7.5	TE21	1	1	5	1