Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Quinshon Judkins

CLE

RB20 · overall #26 · tier 5 · age 22

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Projected points

179

12.9/gm

Value over replacement

84

repl 110

Range

133–225

sd 46

Week

9.5

@ JAX

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
42
Carries
255
Receptions
32
Rec yards
209
Rush yards
951
Rush TD
7.5
Rec TD
0.2
Total TD
7.6
Games projected
13.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.2
Games of history
14
Age multiplier
1.067
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.24
OL pass protection
-1.83
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score
85
Effective contributors
2.13
Top player's share
65%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.91

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
JAX,TB,CAR
Window matchup
-0.89
Opponents after
PIT,NYJ,BAL
After matchup
-0.52
Flip edge
-0.37
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.17

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

14

Points

143.8

Per game

10.27

17-gm pace

175

Best / worst

26.4 / 1.7

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
27.11061033100
315.5189412110
417.52182144330
512.823110021180
63.6123601000
726.4258430000
81.7919033-20
108.52275032100
115.9175902000
1216.7164720000
1312.92391033180
148.41426031580
151.71221043-40
165.1822065290