Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Quinn Ewers

JAX

QB76 · overall #629 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

49

4.6/gm

Value over replacement

-118

repl 250

Range

21–78

sd 29

Week

2.3

@ CIN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
147
Pass yards
1039
Pass TD
6.7
Carries
7
Rush yards
51
Rush TD
0.2
Games projected
10.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.3
Games of history
4
Age multiplier
1.038
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.72
OL pass protection
-0.20
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.03
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CIN,PHI,HOU
Window matchup
-0.27
Opponents after
IND,BAL
After matchup
-0.20
Flip edge
-0.07
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.35

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

4

Points

32.2

Per game

8.04

17-gm pace

137

Best / worst

14.8 / 2.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
72.1QB33585300100
166.9QB26203026002250
1714.8QB16142217220450
188.4QB24162313711190