Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Pharaoh Brown

IND

TE120 · overall #533 · tier – · age 32

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Projected points

16

1.2/gm

Value over replacement

-75

repl 112

Range

0–31

sd 16

Week

0.5

@ WAS

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
12
Carries
0
Receptions
9
Rec yards
93
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.3
Total TD
0.3
Games projected
13.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.8
Games of history
34
Age multiplier
0.865
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
61.8
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.69
OL pass protection
+0.76
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
35%
3WR rate
65%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
+0.12
Scheme creativity
+0.53
Play action / motion
31% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
4
Effective contributors
1.49
Top player's share
81%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.17

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
WAS,PIT,TEN
Window matchup
+0.80
Opponents after
MIN,JAX,DAL
After matchup
+0.14
Flip edge
+0.66
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.47

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

5

Points

1.1

Per game

0.22

17-gm pace

4

Best / worst

1.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
110.0TE570000
120.0TE590000
140.0TE580000
151.1TE542210
180.0TE630000