TE
Pat Freiermuth
PITTE11 · overall #103 · tier 3 · age 27
Projected points
121
8.2/gm
Value over replacement
19
repl 111
Range
72–170
sd 49
Week
7.3
vs ATL
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 84
- Carries
- 0
- Receptions
- 61
- Rec yards
- 629
- Rush yards
- 0
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 4.6
- Total TD
- 4.6
- Games projected
- 14.7
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 8.6
- Games of history
- 58
- Age multiplier
- 1.010
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.5
- Projected plays / game
- 61.4
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -0.48
- OL pass protection
- +0.07
- OL continuity
- 79%
- 2TE rate
- 45%
- 3WR rate
- 52%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 45%
- Run friendly
- -0.86
- Scheme creativity
- -0.30
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 51%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, committee
- Ambiguity score
- 95
- Effective contributors
- 2.97
- Top player's share
- 36%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.30
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- ATL,NE,CIN
- Window matchup
- +0.13
- Opponents after
- CLE,IND,TB
- After matchup
- +0.14
- Flip edge
- -0.02
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 9
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.28
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
15
Points
72.6
Per game
4.84
17-gm pace
82
Best / worst
23.1 / 0.6
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.8 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 0 |
| 2 | 3.1 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 6 | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| 7 | 23.1 | 6 | 5 | 111 | 2 |
| 8 | 1.3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
| 9 | 8.7 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 1 |
| 10 | 3.3 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 | 1.9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 | 7.9 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 1 |
| 14 | 0.9 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 | 4.5 | 5 | 3 | 45 | 0 |
| 16 | 2.0 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 | 6.3 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 0 |
| 18 | 5.1 | 5 | 3 | 51 | 0 |