Pat Bryant

DEN

WR113 · overall #261 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

5.1/gm

Value over replacement

-33

repl 119

Range

43–104

sd 31

Week

5.8

@ SF

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 54
Carries: 3
Receptions: 33
Rec yards: 439
Rush yards: 16
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 1.9
Total TD: 1.9
Games projected: 14.3
Observed pts/gm (history): 5.6
Games of history: 13
Age multiplier: 1.052
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.2
Projected plays / game: 62.2
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: +1.17
OL pass protection: +1.48
OL continuity: 98%
2TE rate: 23%
3WR rate: 72%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: -0.37
Scheme creativity: +0.15
Play action / motion: 25% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 75
Effective contributors: 3.92
Top player's share: 35%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: avoid
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: SF,LAC,SEA
Window matchup: -0.39
Opponents after: ARI,KC,CAR
After matchup: +0.03
Flip edge: -0.41
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 10
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.49

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

43.8

Per game

3.37

17-gm pace

Best / worst

10.0 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
2	1.8	WR95	3	2	18	0
4	0.0	WR110	1	0	0	0
5	0.0	WR100	0	0	0	0
6	2.2	WR69	2	2	22	0
7	0.6	WR94	4	1	6	0
8	10.0	WR16	4	2	40	1
9	2.0	WR69	3	2	20	0
10	4.3	WR43	2	1	43	0
11	8.2	WR20	6	5	82	0
13	4.2	WR43	7	3	42	0
14	3.2	WR49	4	4	32	0
16	4.2	WR51	8	5	42	0
18	3.1	WR51	5	4	31	0