Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Parker Washington

JAX

WR35 · overall #82 · tier 7 · age 24

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Projected points

135

9.6/gm

Value over replacement

34

repl 115

Range

86–184

sd 49

Week

8.6

vs CLE

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
94
Carries
5
Receptions
58
Rec yards
740
Rush yards
11
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
5.1
Total TD
5.1
Games projected
14.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.9
Games of history
38
Age multiplier
1.044
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.83
OL pass protection
-0.31
OL continuity
100%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.04
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.41
Top player's share
30%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CLE,DEN,NE
Window matchup
+0.04
Opponents after
CIN,PHI,HOU
After matchup
-0.43
Flip edge
+0.47
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.23

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

16

Points

184.7

Per game

11.54

17-gm pace

196

Best / worst

26.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
10.0000000
212.65576000
37.411434000
45.920001-1
59.63216100
64.94229000
710.2104520310
917.09890000
1017.9733312-4
114.02220000
1218.17571100
133.63126000
158.33353000
1626.5106145100
1719.010811501-5
1819.79587100