Parker Washington

Raised 22 Aug at Matt's read, and this is the THIRD time it has come up -- the audit flagged him at 24 ranks from ADP, I twice called it a live 'do you believe the breakout' question and left it, and I had lifted his 6 Aug market pin the same morning. Leaving a flagged disagreement unresolved twice is not neutrality, it is a decision taken by default. SAME MECHANISM AS BLAKE CORUM, opposite end of the same file. His seasons run 4.15/g, 5.21, then 8.98 on 5.94 targets across a full 16 games, and USAGE_DECAY_BY_POS['WR'] of 0.50 blends a career that is two-thirds a player he has outgrown -- the model's 7.71 is +0.17 against that blend, so it is CALIBRATED ON THE WRONG POPULATION rather than miscalibrated. A career blend describes neither a collapse nor an ascent. 127.2 over 14.0 games = 9.09/g, within a rounding step of the 8.98 he actually ran in 2025 and with no step up invented on top. Lands WR34, level with ADP WR34 and short of ECR WR29 -- the deliberate stopping point, because he is listed depth 2 in a Jacksonville room where Jakobi Meyers and Brian Thomas Jr. both project more targets than he does, and that is a real constraint the 2025 tape does not override.

This is a view, not a correction — the model said something different and was overruled. See how it works.

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.