Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Owen Wright

HOU

RB118 · overall #393 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

19

1.9/gm

Value over replacement

-53

repl 116

Range

17–21

sd 2

Week

0.6

vs DAL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
6
Carries
26
Receptions
5
Rec yards
32
Rush yards
98
Rush TD
0.6
Rec TD
0.1
Total TD
0.7
Games projected
10.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
0.3
Games of history
2
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.37
OL pass protection
-1.19
OL continuity
64%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
76%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.36
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
54
Effective contributors
2.86
Top player's share
49%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.63

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
DAL,TEN,JAX
Window matchup
+0.11
Opponents after
NYG,LAC
After matchup
+0.01
Flip edge
+0.11
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.70

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

2

Points

0.6

Per game

0.30

17-gm pace

5

Best / worst

0.6 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
110.0RB760000000
120.6RB593600000