Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Omarion Hampton

LAC

RB12 · overall #10 · tier 4 · age 23

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Projected points

198

16.4/gm

Value over replacement

116

repl 110

Range

150–247

sd 49

Week

15.1

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
64
Carries
228
Receptions
51
Rec yards
360
Rush yards
966
Rush TD
6.0
Rec TD
0.7
Total TD
6.7
Games projected
12.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
15.1
Games of history
9
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.4
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.46
OL pass protection
+0.58
OL continuity
37%
2TE rate
16%
3WR rate
71%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.07
Scheme creativity
+0.88
Play action / motion
25% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
83
Effective contributors
3.10
Top player's share
43%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
ARI,LV,BUF
Window matchup
+1.19
Opponents after
SEA,DEN,KC
After matchup
-0.96
Flip edge
+2.15
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.06

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

9

Points

103.7

Per game

11.52

17-gm pace

196

Best / worst

22.5 / 2.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
16.11548022130
22.582402110
318.91970176590
422.512128155370
57.01244066260
1412.71356022111
156.5156101140
1615.51685121100
1712.01429188310