TE
Noah Gray
KCTE65 · overall #369 · tier – · age 27
Projected points
56
3.7/gm
Value over replacement
-50
repl 112
Range
35–77
sd 21
Week
2.9
@ LV
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 40
- Carries
- 1
- Receptions
- 29
- Rec yards
- 287
- Rush yards
- -0
- Rush TD
- 0.3
- Rec TD
- 1.8
- Total TD
- 2.1
- Games projected
- 15.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.5
- Games of history
- 63
- Age multiplier
- 1.010
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.7
- Projected plays / game
- 63.2
- Projected pass rate
- 59%
- OL run block
- +0.13
- OL pass protection
- -0.04
- OL continuity
- 65%
- 2TE rate
- 41%
- 3WR rate
- 56%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 54%
- Run friendly
- -1.61
- Scheme creativity
- +0.04
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 55%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 6
- Effective contributors
- 1.66
- Top player's share
- 73%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.22
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- LV,LAC
- Window matchup
- +0.46
- Opponents after
- SEA,DEN,NYJ
- After matchup
- -0.10
- Flip edge
- +0.57
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 5
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.19
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
14
Points
17.8
Per game
1.27
17-gm pace
22
Best / worst
3.0 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3 | TE55 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 2 | 0.1 | TE56 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 3 | 1.7 | TE36 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 0 |
| 4 | 0.1 | TE53 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 6 | 2.5 | TE34 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 |
| 7 | 2.8 | TE27 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 0 |
| 8 | 2.3 | TE27 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 0 |
| 9 | 0.0 | TE54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.9 | TE43 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 | 2.5 | TE26 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 | 1.4 | TE37 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.0 | TE64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 0.2 | TE56 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | 3.0 | TE27 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 0 |