QB
Nick Mullens
JAXQB41 · overall #452 · tier 8 · age 31
Projected points
64
7.9/gm
Value over replacement
-62
repl 250
Range
38–90
sd 26
Week
1.2
@ CIN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 145
- Pass yards
- 1041
- Pass TD
- 6.4
- Carries
- 17
- Rush yards
- 61
- Rush TD
- 0.3
- Games projected
- 8.1
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.0
- Games of history
- 17
- Age multiplier
- 0.974
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.2
- Projected plays / game
- 61.3
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -0.72
- OL pass protection
- -0.20
- OL continuity
- 98%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 73%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.06
- Scheme creativity
- -0.03
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 51%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- CIN,PHI,HOU
- Window matchup
- -0.27
- Opponents after
- IND,BAL
- After matchup
- -0.20
- Flip edge
- -0.07
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.35
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
4
Points
-0.0
Per game
-0.01
17-gm pace
-0
Best / worst
0.4 / -0.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | -0.3 | QB35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | 0.0 | QB31 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | -0.2 | QB36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.4 | QB37 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 0 |