Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Nate Adkins

DEN

TE94 · overall #478 · tier – · age 27

← back to rankings

Projected points

22

1.7/gm

Value over replacement

-66

repl 112

Range

6–37

sd 16

Week

3.9

@ SF

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
14
Carries
0
Receptions
10
Rec yards
93
Rush yards
1
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.3
Total TD
1.3
Games projected
12.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.7
Games of history
26
Age multiplier
1.010
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.2
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+1.17
OL pass protection
+1.48
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
23%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.37
Scheme creativity
+0.15
Play action / motion
25% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
32
Effective contributors
2.02
Top player's share
67%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.35

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
SF,LAC,SEA
Window matchup
-0.26
Opponents after
ARI,KC,CAR
After matchup
+0.51
Flip edge
-0.77
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.31

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

6

Points

10.8

Per game

1.80

17-gm pace

31

Best / worst

8.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
40.5TE503250
50.0TE571000
68.3TE1022231
72.0TE3332200
80.0TE481000
160.0TE641000