Mo Alie-Cox

IND

TE98 · overall #483 · tier – · age 33

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Projected points

2.7/gm

Value over replacement

-66

repl 112

Range

18–64

sd 23

Week

2.1

@ WAS

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 28
Carries: 1
Receptions: 19
Rec yards: 198
Rush yards: 1
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 1.9
Total TD: 1.9
Games projected: 15.4
Observed pts/gm (history): 3.1
Games of history: 51
Age multiplier: 0.842
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 32.7
Projected plays / game: 61.8
Projected pass rate: 57%
OL run block: +0.69
OL pass protection: +0.76
OL continuity: 81%
2TE rate: 35%
3WR rate: 65%
1st-down pass rate: 48%
Run friendly: +0.12
Scheme creativity: +0.53
Play action / motion: 31% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: clear lead
Ambiguity score: 4
Effective contributors: 1.49
Top player's share: 81%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.17

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: WAS,PIT,TEN
Window matchup: +0.80
Opponents after: MIN,JAX,DAL
After matchup: +0.14
Flip edge: +0.66
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 13
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.47

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

30.7

Per game

2.79

17-gm pace

Best / worst

11.0 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	3.0	TE38	1	1	20	0
2	1.8	TE46	1	1	8	0
6	2.6	TE41	2	1	16	0
7	1.6	TE45	2	1	6	0
9	0.0	TE54	1	0	0	0
10	0.0	TE55	1	0	0	0
12	1.9	TE41	1	1	9	0
14	0.0	TE58	2	0	0	0
16	3.6	TE39	2	2	16	0
17	11.0	TE13	3	3	20	1
18	5.2	TE31	4	3	22	0