QB
Mitchell Trubisky
TENQB44 · overall #487 · tier 9 · age 31
Projected points
82
9.1/gm
Value over replacement
-65
repl 261
Range
25–138
sd 56
Week
5.3
vs NYJ
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 184
- Pass yards
- 1238
- Pass TD
- 8.3
- Carries
- 15
- Rush yards
- 54
- Rush TD
- 0.6
- Games projected
- 9.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 6.7
- Games of history
- 24
- Age multiplier
- 0.974
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.4
- Projected plays / game
- 59.3
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -1.43
- OL pass protection
- -1.39
- OL continuity
- 46%
- 2TE rate
- 21%
- 3WR rate
- 77%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 39%
- Run friendly
- +0.19
- Scheme creativity
- -0.29
- Play action / motion
- 20% / 43%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach
- Ambiguity score
- 66
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- NYJ,PHI,NYG
- Window matchup
- -0.11
- Opponents after
- BAL,HOU,IND
- After matchup
- -0.56
- Flip edge
- +0.46
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 9
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.25
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
4
Points
31.1
Per game
7.78
17-gm pace
132
Best / worst
28.9 / 0.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 8 | 0.9 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | 28.9 | 22 | 29 | 259 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 |