Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Michael Mayer

LV

TE50 · overall #292 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

52

4.0/gm

Value over replacement

-38

repl 112

Range

14–90

sd 38

Week

5.0

vs KC

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
44
Carries
1
Receptions
31
Rec yards
290
Rush yards
1
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.2
Total TD
1.2
Games projected
12.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.0
Games of history
37
Age multiplier
1.050
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.08
OL pass protection
-0.32
OL continuity
50%
2TE rate
42%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
+0.59
Scheme creativity
-0.05
Play action / motion
22% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
92
Effective contributors
2.41
Top player's share
55%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.04

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
KC,NE,BUF
Window matchup
-0.43
Opponents after
LA,NYJ,SF
After matchup
-0.33
Flip edge
-0.11
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.37

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

13

Points

38.8

Per game

2.98

17-gm pace

51

Best / worst

11.0 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
13.8TE2244380
20.9TE422290
30.0TE571000
611.0TE575501
71.0TE4021100
92.6TE3473260
102.2TE3043220
111.3TE4143130
121.4TE3711140
150.0TE590000
161.0TE4831100
178.9TE12109890
184.7TE1953470