Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Max Brosmer

MIN

QB90 · overall #643 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

38

3.2/gm

Value over replacement

-145

repl 250

Range

28–47

sd 10

Week

1.1

vs MIA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
182
Pass yards
1291
Pass TD
7.6
Carries
5
Rush yards
60
Rush TD
0.1
Games projected
11.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
0.6
Games of history
7
Age multiplier
1.038
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.1
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.05
OL pass protection
+0.10
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
27%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.76
Scheme creativity
+0.22
Play action / motion
26% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
MIA,NO
Window matchup
+0.64
Opponents after
IND,DET,BUF
After matchup
+0.27
Flip edge
+0.37
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+1.05

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

7

Points

4.2

Per game

0.60

17-gm pace

10

Best / worst

3.6 / -3.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
31.2QB33242900000
5-0.1QB33000001-10
80.5QB30341300000
13-3.1QB371930126041-10
161.8QB347952003-30
173.6QB3191651002160
180.3QB38785700000